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Among registered voters nationwide, 26 percent believe the economy is good or excellent, according to polling in late February by The New York Times and Siena College. The movement occurred disproportionately among older Democrats, a constituency already likely to vote for Mr. Biden. And the share of voters saying they approve of the job Mr. Biden is doing in office has actually fallen, to 36 percent in the latest poll, from 39 percent in July. Inflation has pervaded economic sentiment since mid-2022, confronting voters daily with the price of everything from eggs to car insurance. Nearly two-thirds of registered voters in the Times/Siena poll rated the price of food and consumer goods as poor.
Persons: Biden doesn’t, Mr, Biden Organizations: The New York Times, Siena College, Times Locations: Siena
Results: The Most Detailed Maps of the South Carolina Republican PrimaryMap is colored by the candidate who leads in each precinct. No resultsPolls close in the South Carolina Republican primary at 7 p.m. Eastern time with first vote reports expected shortly after. This page will feature the most detailed results available from the primary, precinct-level votes. In the maps below, precincts are shaded according to each candidate’s vote share for former President Donald J. Trump and Nikki Haley, the former South Carolina governor. Income One precinct Precincts in … Lower income areas Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataHigher income areas Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataEducation Precincts in … Areas with fewer college graduates Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataAreas with more college graduates Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataPopulation density Precincts in … Rural areas Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataSuburban areas Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataUrban areas Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for dataStrong Biden areas in 2020 Empty chart, waiting for data Empty chart, waiting for data
Persons: Trump, Haley, Donald J, Nikki Haley, Haley Haley, , — Trump, Strong Organizations: South Carolina Republican, South, Trump, Trump Trump, — — Locations: South Carolina,
In rousing remarks, Ms. Haley painted a picture of a country and a world in disarray, casting herself as the choice for voters dissatisfied with both President Biden and Mr. Trump. She set up an epic showdown with Mr. Trump in South Carolina, where she is lagging far behind Mr. Trump in polls despite a home-state advantage. Painting herself as an outsider, despite her insider résumé, she pledged to take on Mr. Trump and the political class behind him. Her campaign has bought over $1 million in television advertising from Tuesday through Feb. 6 in South Carolina, according to AdImpact, a media-tracking firm. “I won South Carolina twice as governor,” she told reporters Friday at a retro diner in Amherst.
Persons: Nikki Haley, Donald J, Trump, Haley, Biden, “ We’re, Mr, , , Donald Trump, Nancy Pelosi, , Joe, Doug Mills, Chris Sununu, I’m, ” Mr, Ms, Trump’s, Betsy Ankney, Nikki, Ankney, Mark Harris, Harris, Haley’s, Ruth Fremson, Ron DeSantis, Marco Rubio, Allie Cable, ” Richard, Wendy Clymer, Clymer, Maggie Haberman, Kellen Browning Organizations: Republican, Trump, Mr, , United Nations, U.S, Capitol, New York Times, Granite, Gov, Committee, PAC, South Carolina Locations: New Hampshire, South Carolina, “ New Hampshire, Iowa, Hampton, N.H, Virgin, Charleston, S.C, Nevada, America, Florida, Amherst, Marco Rubio of Florida, Greenville, Concord, New York
Results: The Most Detailed Maps of the Iowa Republican CaucusesTrump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Other Trump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Other No vote estimates available. No resultsFormer president Donald J. Trump won the Iowa caucuses on Monday, with The Associated Press calling the race for Mr. Trump less than an hour after caucusing began. This is the most detailed vote data available for the first 2024 presidential election contest. vote share Lower income areas — — Higher income areas — — Areas with fewer college graduates — — Areas with more college graduates — — Rural areas — — Suburban areas — — Urban areas — —Trump’s supportEach dot in the charts below represents one neighborhood’s caucus precinct. Income One precinct Precincts in … Lower income areasHigher income areasEducation Areas with fewer college graduatesAreas with more college graduatesPopulation density Rural areasSuburban areasUrban areas
Persons: Haley Ramaswamy, Trump, Donald J, caucusing, Mr, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Haley, DeSantis Organizations: Iowa Republican, Trump, Associated Press, Republican, South, , Iowa Locations: Iowa, South Carolina, Florida, , Des Moines
How Each Member Voted on the House Stopgap Spending MeasureWith the help of House Democrats, Speaker Mike Johnson successfully pushed forward a stopgap measure that would keep the government funded into the beginning of next year. See a breakdown of individual member votes below. On Tuesday, House Democratic leaders endorsed the measure, which needed bipartisan support to pass. The first, passed in late September, caused a furor among hard-right House Republicans that cost Kevin McCarthy the speakership. See how each member of the House voted.
Persons: Mike Johnson, Kevin McCarthy, Johnson Organizations: House Democrats, Dem, House Democratic, House Republicans Locations: Ukraine, Israel
Which Candidates Got the Most Speaking Time in the Second Republican DebateSeven candidates took the stage for two hours in Simi Valley, Calif., for the second Republican presidential debate. We tracked how long they talked, the topics they discussed and how often they were attacked by their opponents. See real-time updates from our reporters. Who got the most speaking time? Which subjects were discussed the most?
Persons: Who Organizations: Republican Locations: Simi Valley, Calif
A Summer of Strikes
  + stars: | 2023-09-03 | by ( Molly Cook Escobar | Christine Zhang | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +7 min
A Summer of Strikes Work stoppages in the United States this year could reach heights rarely seen in recent decades. “Those are not just the big strikes that are in the news, but there are many smaller strikes across every industry,” said Kate Bronfenbrenner, a senior lecturer at Cornell University's School of Industrial and Labor Relations. Some, like Dr. Bronfenbrenner, see the resurgence of strikes and union organizing as a lasting trend. Surveys have shown increased public support for unions in recent years, she said, even as private sector union membership remains low. “When you have large strikes that are like waves across the country, they are contagious,” said Dr. Bronfenbrenner.
Persons: Jan, Ed, Ruth, Ronald Reagan, Joseph A, Reagan, McCartin, , Kate Bronfenbrenner, Bronfenbrenner Organizations: SAG, Verizon, General Motors, Railway, The New York Times, Hollywood, United Parcel Service, United Auto Workers, Ford Motor, City University of New York’s Graduate Center and School of Labor, Urban Studies, Gallup, Georgetown University, , Union, Mining, Arts, Retail, Public, Agriculture, Cornell University’s School of Industrial and Labor Relations, Cornell University's School of Industrial and Labor Relations Locations: United States, McCartin, walkouts
Which Candidates Got the Most Speaking Time in the Republican DebateEight candidates took the stage in Milwaukee for the first Republican presidential debate. We tracked how long they talked, the topics they discussed, and how often they were attacked by their opponents. Who got the most speaking timeWhich subjects were discussed the most + Show all
Persons: Who Organizations: Republican Locations: Milwaukee
Which Presidential Candidates Are Leading the 2024 Money Race? Federal disclosures on Saturday provided a first glimpse of the money race between the presidential candidates for 2024, showing who has amassed the most campaign cash so far. Joint Fund-Raising Committees Joint Fund-Raising Committees Allow two or more political committees to raise money together and pass the proceeds along to their member committees. Generally, a leadership PAC cannot spend money directly on the candidate’s campaign. DONATIONS FROM: Other PACs Individuals $5,000 limit $5,000 limit Leadership PAC $5,000 limit $5,000 limit Other PACs Campaign Committees Limit to campaign committees is for the primary election.
Persons: Donald J, Tim Scott, Joseph R, Biden, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Trump, Tim Scott of, Mike Pence, Doug Burgum, Burgum, Nikki Haley, Kennedy, Chris Christie, Suarez, Asa Organizations: Trump, Republican, Biden, Gov, Republicans, Fund, Democratic National Committee . Campaign, Trump Save America, America, Inc, Mr, Save, PAC, Campaign, Opportunity, Win Data, America Data, America PAC, SFA, SOS America PAC Locations: Tim Scott of South Carolina, Florida, North Dakota, Biden’s
1 11 a.m. Friday Prigozhin questions war rationaleIn a 30-minute video released at 11 a.m. on Friday, Mr. Prigozhin challenged the wisdom of the Russia-Ukraine war. The Federal Security Service, Russia’s main intelligence agency, opened an investigation against Mr. Prigozhin for armed rebellion. 3 7:30 a.m. Saturday Wagner forces take Rostov-on-DonConcord Press ServiceDespite the defense measures, Wagner forces took Rostov-on-Don with little resistance. Around 7:30 a.m., Mr. Prigozhin posted a video from the regional military headquarters, claiming to have control of key city installations. Mr. Prigozhin was among those leaving, driving out of the city in a heavily guarded black S.U.V.
Persons: Yevgeny V, Wagner, Prigozhin, Sergei K, , Prigozhin’s, Saturday Wagner, Don Sea, Putin, Alexsandr G, Lukashenko, , Don Wagner Organizations: Wagner, Federal Security Service, Don Concord Press, Don, Saturday, Reuters, Moscow, Moscow russia belarus Elets, Volgograd UKRAINE Bakhmut Rostov, Moscow russia Elets, New York Times, Ukraine Locations: Russia, Moscow, Ukraine, Rostov, Russia’s Voronezh, Moscow russia belarus, Moscow russia belarus Elets Voronezh, Volgograd UKRAINE, Don, Azov, Moscow russia, Moscow russia Elets Voronezh, Russian, Voronezh, Elets, Lipetsk, Belarus,
Migrants trying to cross the border can… Get appointment at border checkpoint Seek humanitarian parole Cross border illegally Few nationalities qualify. ‘Transit ban’ Almost everybody Can you show you’ve been denied asylum in another country on your way to the U.S.? ‘Transit ban’ Can you show you’ve already been denied asylum in another country on your way to the U.S.? ‘Transit ban’ Can you show you’ve been denied asylum in another country on your way to the U.S.? ‘Transit ban’ Can you show you’ve already been denied asylum in another country on your way to the U.S.?
The Fed aims for 2 percent inflation on average over time using the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which will be released on Friday. That figure pulls some of its data from the Consumer Price Index report, which was released two weeks ago and offered a clear picture of the recent inflation trajectory. Before the pandemic, inflation hovered around 2 percent as measured by the overall Consumer Price Index and by a “core” measure that strips out food and fuel prices to get a clearer sense of the underlying trend. It dropped sharply at the pandemic’s start in early 2020 as people stayed home and stopped spending money, then rebounded starting in March 2021. Shipping costs surged, goods shortages mounted, and the prices of physical purchases from appliances to cars jumped.
Still Going Fast, Inflation Changes Drivers
  + stars: | 2023-04-27 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | Christine Zhang | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The Fed aims for 2 percent inflation on average over time using the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which will be released on Friday. That figure pulls some of its data from the Consumer Price Index report, which was released two weeks ago and offered a clear picture of the recent inflation trajectory. Before the pandemic, inflation hovered around 2 percent as measured by the overall Consumer Price Index and by a “core” measure that strips out food and fuel prices to get a clearer sense of the underlying trend. It dropped sharply at the pandemic’s start in early 2020 as people stayed home and stopped spending money, then rebounded starting in March 2021. Shipping costs surged, goods shortages mounted, and the prices of physical purchases from appliances to cars jumped.
Why People Are Worried About Banks
  + stars: | 2023-03-18 | by ( Christine Zhang | David Enrich | Karl Russell | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +12 min
First Republic Bank was forced to seek a lifeline this week, receiving tens of billions of dollars from other banks. These are known as unrealized losses — they turn into real losses only if the banks have to sell the assets. +2 % 0 –4 First Republic Pacific Western Signature −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 –4 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 First Republic Pacific Western Signature –4 −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions –4 −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 First Republic Pacific Western Signature –4 −8 Plotted quarterly ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 +2 % 0 Silicon Valley Western Alliance Zions –4 −8 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council Note: Includes both “held-to-maturity” and “available-for-sale” securities, meaning both long- and short-term investments. Banks’ cash and noncash assets Plotted quarterly $200 billion Pacific Western Signature 150 100 First Republic 50 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 $200 billion Western Alliance Zions 150 100 50 Silicon Valley 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Banks’ cash and noncash assets $200 billion Pacific Western Signature 150 100 50 First Republic 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 $200 billion Western Alliance Zions 150 100 50 Silicon Valley 0 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 ’19 ’20 ’21 ’22 Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination CouncilMidsize banks like SVB do not have the same regulatory oversight as the nation’s biggest banks, who, among other provisions, are subject to tougher requirements to have a certain amount of reserves in moments of crisis. Last weekend, the Fed announced a program that offers loans of up to one year to banks using the banks’ government bonds and certain other assets as collateral.
The three banks that failed this year were worth more in inflation-adjusted assets than the 25 that collapsed in 2008. Before Silicon Valley Bank, the last bank to fail was in late 2020, as the coronavirus was ravaging the country. First Republic Bank ranks 14th, Silicon Valley Bank ranks 16th and Signature Bank ranks 29th. Silicon Valley Bank’s chief executive, Greg Becker, was a strong supporter of the move. In a review of the Fed’s oversight of Silicon Valley Bank released on Friday, Michael S. Barr, the central bank’s vice chair for supervision, said the Fed would “re-evaluate” its rules for banks that were similar in size to Silicon Valley Bank.
The Second-Biggest Bank Failure
  + stars: | 2023-03-10 | by ( Karl Russell | Christine Zhang | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +5 min
A bar chart of U.S. bank failures since 2001, showing that Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse was the second-biggest in U.S. history in terms of assets. Before Silicon Valley Bank, the last firm to fail was in late 2020, as the coronavirus was ravaging the country. It’s unclear whether the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank will spread to the broader industry. Silicon Valley Bank 209 17. Silicon Valley Bank 209 Fifth Third Bank 17.
The Georgia voters who delivered Mr. Kemp a comfortable victory over his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, in November did not show the same enthusiasm for Mr. Walker. Neither Mr. Walker nor Mr. Warnock cleared the 50 percent threshold needed to win outright, sending voters to the polls again for a runoff on Tuesday. The outcome of Tuesday’s runoff with Mr. Walker, who was pressed to run by Mr. Trump, will shed more light on Mr. Trump’s influence in Georgia. Mr. Walker has spent more time campaigning in Atlanta’s suburbs and has embraced Mr. Kemp as a surrogate. Mr. Warnock has sought to portray Mr. Walker as unfit for office and as an ally of Mr. Trump.
Tracking the most competitive statesEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive races for Senate control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. Alaska is expected to be won by one of the two Republicans leading the vote count in that state.
Tracking the most competitive districtsEach party needs to win a share of the most competitive districts for House control. The win targets below are based on what each party needs for control after accounting for the races the parties are expected to win most easily. There is one race in a district rated competitive prior to the election that has not yet been called.
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